Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Even when not at their peak, the Cleveland Cavaliers have unleashed enough offensive bursts to hit 120 points in both Games 1 and 2, a testament to Kenny Atkinson’s effective system.

Just last year, the Cavs struggled to reach 100 points in their first-round series against the Orlando Magic.

This postseason has been a smoother journey for Cleveland, despite Miami’s tough resistance, and I’m betting on the visitors’ attack to push the Game 3 total to another Over on Saturday.

This aligns with Cleveland’s season-long trend. Including the playoffs, the Over is 53-31 for Atkinson’s squad, who lit it up in Game 2 with 49% shooting from three. The starting unit is sharp, but the bench trio of Ty Jerome, De’Andre Hunter, and Sam Merrill adds serious spark.

Miami’s been trending similarly — the Over is 47-39 — while sitting in the top half of the NBA for 3-point accuracy. Tyler Herro found his rhythm in Wednesday’s game, dropping 33 points on 14-for-24 shooting, as the Heat hit 52% from the floor despite Bam Adebayo’s off night.

With Cavs star Donovan Mitchell nearly unstoppable at home, supported by Cleveland’s deep shooting arsenal, I’m counting on their offense to drive the scoreline past the total.

A vital component of Cleveland's 3-point assault, Max Strus has made seven of his 13 3-point attempts in this series thus far. Any shooter would love to play off Mitchell and Darius Garland, yet Strus has regularly reprimanded the Heat for overassisting.

I watch Strus maintain his scorching start against his old squad back at Kaseya Center. In both of his games versus Miami this season, he outscored this 7.5 O/U line, and he is shooting 39% of his 3-point attempts on six tries a game.

Throughout the two games at Rocket Arena, Garland was in excellent rhythm. In Game 2, he ended with nine assists, and his playmaking was particularly noteworthy. It's only fitting that a Garland prop would appear in my SGP if I'm selecting the Cavaliers' offense to dominate this over.