Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

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The Baltimore Ravens will play their first international game in six years when they face the Tennessee Titans at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London this Sunday. Baltimore, with a record of 3-2, previously played a game abroad in 2017, where they suffered a 44-7 loss against Jacksonville at London's Wembley Stadium. Tennessee, with a 2-3 record, also had its only overseas appearance at Wembley, where they were defeated 20-19 by the Los Angeles Chargers in 2018.

The kickoff time for this game is set at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time. In the latest Ravens vs. Titans odds, Baltimore is favored by 5.5 points, with an over/under of 42.5 total points. Historically, Baltimore has been known for its strong defense, and this season is no exception. They currently rank second in the NFL in several defensive categories, including total defense (allowing 266.4 yards), points allowed (15), and sacks (18). A total of 10 players on the team have recorded at least one sack, with safety Kyle Hamilton leading the team with three after achieving two as a rookie last season.

The Ravens are also performing well in the rushing game, ranking fourth in the league with an average of 146 yards per game on the ground. Quarterback Lamar Jackson leads the team with 265 rushing yards on 47 carries and has scored four touchdowns. Jackson has had impressive performances against the Titans in the past, particularly in the playoffs, with notable displays in the 2019 Divisional Round and the Wild Card Round the following year.

Tennessee, on the other hand, has faced challenges on the road, losing six consecutive away games, although four of those defeats were by seven points or fewer. Quarterback Ryan Tannehill, despite not throwing a touchdown pass in three of his last five games, threw for a season-high 264 yards against the Colts. He has reduced his turnovers recently, with only two interceptions in his last four outings after three interceptions in the season opener against New Orleans.

Tannehill's primary target this season has been DeAndre Hopkins, who joined the Titans in July after being released by Arizona. Although Hopkins hasn't yet scored a touchdown, he leads the team with 26 receptions and 356 receiving yards, averaging 13.7 yards per catch, his highest since 2018.

In Week 6 of the 2023 NFL schedule, the Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans will take part in another installment of the International Series, featuring a Ravens team with a strong 3-2 record against a Titans squad that, despite their 2-3 record, has struggled with their offense. Baltimore is considered one of the top contenders in the AFC, while Tennessee is seen as a long shot with their +8000 futures odds for the Super Bowl.

The Ravens' moneyline is the preferable choice, even though it may not provide the most attractive standalone betting value. Baltimore has suffered two losses, one due to a questionable overtime call against the Indianapolis Colts and the other after a strong defensive performance against the Pittsburgh Steelers, allowing only 289 yards and 15 points. In the latter game, Ravens receivers dropped seven passes, including three potential touchdowns, which was their highest drop count in a single game this season.

Lamar Jackson's statistics might not immediately impress. He has averaged 259 total yards, with eight total touchdowns (four rushing and four passing), along with two interceptions and a QBR of 56.6, ranking 13th. Nevertheless, according to Pro Football Focus, he was the top-ranked QB in Week 5 and holds the second-best grade for the 2023 season so far, trailing only Jared Goff.

Even when Jackson's offensive teammates underperformed in Week 5, Baltimore's defense stood out, ranking second in points allowed (15) and yards given up per game (266.4).

The Titans may trail the Ravens by only one game in the standings, but they have not played at the same level. They have struggled on both offense and defense, ranking 26th in scoring (17.6 points per game) and 24th in total yardage (293.6 per game).

Ryan Tannehill has thrown just two touchdowns and five interceptions, with a QBR of 37.1, placing him 30th among qualified quarterbacks. Derrick Henry has also had a slow start to the season, averaging just 65.6 rushing yards per game, his lowest since 2017, and scoring only twice.

Tennessee's defense has been solid, ranking ninth in points allowed (18.6), despite giving up significant yardage. The Titans only allow touchdowns on 35.3% of their opponents' red zone entries, which is the fourth-best record in the league and a key reason for keeping scores relatively low (with Baltimore having the best red zone defense at 25%).

The four-point line implies that the Ravens must win by more than a field goal to cover the spread, which is feasible. Both teams have a 3-2 record against the spread, but Baltimore boasts the NFL's eighth-best point differential (+6.8), whereas Tennessee ranks 19th (-1). The Ravens also have more ways to cover the spread compared to the Titans.

Baltimore can excel in passing or running the ball, even with starting running back J.K. Dobbins recovering from a torn Achilles. Additionally, their defense can stifle opponents in case the offense falters.

In contrast, the Titans need low-scoring games to have a chance at winning. Even when DeAndre Hopkins had an impressive game last week (eight catches for 140 yards), the Titans still lost to the Colts 23-16.

To make matters worse, the Titans' usually strong run defense ranks only ninth in terms of rushing yards allowed per game. While this is still solid, it's not at an elite level, which is necessary to contain Lamar Jackson and the Ravens' offense.

Apart from both teams having a 1-4 record against the Over, several contextual factors suggest that this game is likely to be low-scoring. Firstly, the game is being played in London, which means both teams will be dealing with jet lag and unfamiliar playing conditions. Secondly, both teams rely heavily on their running games and are willing to rely on their defenses for the final outcome. Thirdly, the last three London games, including two this year, have all resulted in scores going Under. If you're expecting a high-scoring shootout, this game is not likely to provide it.

One player prop that stands out for this game is the under bet on Derrick Henry rushing for fewer than 66.5 yards (-115). Henry has fallen short of this mark three times in five games and now faces a formidable run defense that ranks seventh in rushing yards allowed per game (91.4). Adding to the challenge, Tennessee's offensive line ranks 28th in PFF's rankings for Week 6 and is up against one of the top run-stopping defenses in football.

Another factor affecting this prop is the context of the matchup. The game is being played in London, and recent experiences, such as the Buffalo Bills managing only 29 total rushing yards last week, suggest that travel and fatigue could impact Henry's performance. He may start slowly, similar to his 43-yard performance on 13 carries last week.