Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

The Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves are set for a high-stakes showdown at the FedEx Forum on Thursday night in what could be a pivotal game for both teams' playoff positioning. The Grizzlies (47-32) currently hold the sixth spot in the Western Conference, while the Timberwolves (46-33) sit just behind in eighth place.

With the regular season winding down, the West remains fiercely competitive—only two games separate the fourth-seeded Nuggets from the eighth-seeded Timberwolves. Every matchup matters, and this game could be decisive in shaping the postseason picture.

Memphis comes into this contest riding a three-game winning streak, including a dominant 124-100 victory over the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday. If the Grizzlies can close out the season strong, they have a shot at securing the fifth seed. However, their path won’t be easy, with tough matchups against the Nuggets and Mavericks looming.

On the other hand, the Timberwolves suffered a devastating collapse on Tuesday, squandering a 24-point lead in a 110-103 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. The defeat dealt a major blow to their hopes of avoiding the play-in tournament. Still, Minnesota has a chance to bounce back—winning their final three games (including favorable home matchups against the Nets and Jazz) could push their record to 49-33 and strengthen their playoff bid.

Minnesota’s Playoff Positioning Hangs in the Balance
If the Timberwolves win tonight, they’ll secure the No. 6 seed and avoid the Play-In Tournament. However, a loss could drop them as low as No. 8, forcing them to start the playoffs on the road.

Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies must win at least one of their final two games—either tonight at home or tomorrow in Denver. Even splitting these matchups might not be enough to escape the Play-In; winning both is their only guaranteed path.

No Clear Rest Advantage

Both teams had late leads on Tuesday, but their outcomes diverged sharply—Minnesota collapsed after being up 24, while Memphis cruised to a 24-point victory. Now, both squads have traveled to Memphis for tonight’s critical showdown.

Expect a Playoff-Level Battle

With their postseason fates on the line, this game should mirror playoff intensity. Given that, the current total seems inflated.

Why the Under Looks Strong

Playoff-style games typically feature:

• Lower scoring (totals drop in high-stakes matchups)

• Tighter defense (fewer fouls called, whether statistically true or not)

• Slower pace (teams prioritize execution over transition play)

• More detailed preparation (though Memphis’ interim coach may limit adjustments)

Memphis has stayed under the total in their last three wins, with Zach Edey’s increased minutes contributing to a more methodical style. Given the stakes, expect a grind-it-out battle rather than a shootout.