Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks

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In the upcoming Eastern Conference semi-final playoff game, the Indiana Pacers will host the New York Knicks for game four. The Knicks are currently leading the series 2-1. Despite the Knicks taking the lead, the Pacers managed to secure a victory in game three when the series shifted to Indiana. Now, the Pacers aim to defend their home court advantage, just as the Knicks did in the first two games. Led by Rick Carlisle, the Pacers clinched a 111-106 win in game three, maintaining their flawless record at home throughout the playoffs, winning all four games played at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse arena.

Notably, the Pacers also emerged victorious in their regular season encounter with the Knicks on their home turf. Tyrese Haliburton, in his postseason debut, showcased his prowess in game three, contributing 35 points and seven assists, despite grappling with back spasms. Haliburton's performance marked his second consecutive game with over 30 points. As the Pacers brace for game four, uncertainties loom over the availability of Aaron Nesmith and Haliburton, both listed as questionable. The Pacers have maintained an average scoring of 114.1 points.

The New York Knicks are determined to thwart the Pacers' attempt to equalize the series. A victory in game four would position them favorably to conclude the matchup in five games on their home court. Under the helm of Tom Thibodeau, the Knicks confront a slew of injuries, significantly impacting their performance in game three. Absences of key players like starting forward O.G. Anunoby and starting center Mitchell Robinson were felt, despite Jalen Brunson's efforts, who managed to score 26 points but struggled with a 38% shooting accuracy.

The Knicks' injury woes have provided opportunities for players like Alec Burks, who missed the entire first-round series against the Sixers, to assume vital roles in the rotation, contributing 14 points in game three. Additionally, the Knicks have suffered season-ending injuries to Bojan Bogdanovic and Julius Randle, while Anunoby and Robinson remain sidelined, ruling them out for game four. Despite the setbacks, the Knicks have maintained an average scoring of 111.9 points per game in the postseason, trailing only behind the Pacers.

The Pacers have managed to maintain a balanced performance, with a 5-5 record against the spread and a 6-4 overall outcome in their previous ten matchups. Over the course of the last 10 games, Indiana has consistently surpassed the projected total by an average of 4.9 points compared to the initially set 218 points for the upcoming game.

Throughout the season, the Pacers have participated in 82 games, securing victory in 44 instances against the spread. Specifically, in 25 games where they were favored by 5.5 points or more, Indiana holds a respectable ATS record of 13-12. Furthermore, out of the 82 games played this season, the Pacers have seen the over hit in 43 of them, indicating a tendency towards higher-scoring contests.

Statistically, the Pacers demonstrate their offensive prowess by averaging 123.3 points per game, a significant 15.1 points more than the average points conceded by the Knicks, which stands at 108.2. When Indiana manages to score beyond this threshold, their success rate amplifies, evident in their 44-26-1 record against the spread and 47-24 overall standing.

Notably, the Pacers showcase an impressive 50.7% shooting accuracy from the field this season, showcasing their efficiency in scoring compared to their opponents. Interestingly, whether playing at home or away, Indiana maintains a consistent winning percentage against the spread, standing at .537 in both scenarios.

Furthermore, when observing the over/under trend, Indiana tends to surpass expectations more frequently in home games, with a rate of 61%, compared to their performance in road games, where they achieve this feat in 43.9% of instances.

Pascal Siakam averages 21.7 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game, shooting at a 53.6% accuracy from the field and hitting 34.6% of his shots from beyond the arc, making an average of 1.1 three-pointers per game. Tyrese Haliburton contributes 20.1 points, 3.9 rebounds, and an impressive 10.9 assists per game, with shooting percentages of 47.7% from the field and 36.4% from downtown, making 2.8 three-pointers per game.

Myles Turner maintains a scoring average of 17.1 points, grabs 6.9 rebounds, and assists 1.3 times per game, shooting with a 52.4% accuracy from the floor and a 35.8% accuracy from three-point range, averaging 1.5 made three-pointers per game. T.J. McConnell scores an average of 10.2 points, secures 2.7 rebounds, and distributes 5.5 assists per game, boasting a shooting percentage of 55.6% from the field. Aaron Nesmith contributes 12.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game, while also averaging 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocks defensively.

The Knicks have shown a 5-5 record against the spread and a 7-3 overall performance in their last 10 matchups. In these recent games, the average combined score between New York and its opponents stands at 191.3 points, which is notably lower than the 218 points projected by the over/under for this particular game.

Over the course of the season, the Knicks have recorded a 43-36-3 record against the spread. Notably, when facing opponents with a 5.5 point or higher advantage, the Knicks have struggled, with a 3-7 record against the spread in such matchups. In terms of over/under outcomes, Knicks games have surpassed the projected total 38 times out of 82 opportunities, constituting a percentage of 46.3%. The Knicks' scoring average of 112.8 points per game falls short by 7.4 points compared to the 120.2 points per game conceded by the Pacers.

Interestingly, when the Knicks manage to exceed this defensive average of the Pacers, they excel with a 17-7 record against the spread and an 18-6 overall performance. Additionally, the Knicks' shooting accuracy of 46.5% is slightly lower than the 49.6% field goal percentage allowed by the Pacers' opponents throughout the season.