Burnley vs Chelsea

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Burnley and Chelsea are both heading into their upcoming Premier League clash at Turf Moor on Saturday with renewed confidence. However, managers Vincent Kompany and Mauricio Pochettino understand that there is still a lot of work to be done to meet their respective goals.

Prior to their recent 2-0 away win against Fulham on Monday, Chelsea had struggled in the Premier League, managing just one victory in their first six matches. The victory saw Mykhailo Mudryk scoring his debut goal for the club, with Armando Broja also finding the target as they coped with the absence of their suspended striker, Nicolas Jackson.

On the other hand, Burnley secured their first win of the season in a rearranged fixture against Luton Town, with Lyle Foster netting his third Premier League goal. However, a late equalizer from Elijah Adebayo for the hosts meant that Kompany's team had to rely on a dramatic and impressive winner from substitute Jacob Bruun Larsen to secure a 2-1 victory.

This win was crucial for Burnley, who had faced some tough fixtures at the start of the season, including matches against strong teams like Manchester City, Aston Villa, Tottenham, Manchester United, and Newcastle United. It served as a reminder that the Premier League can be unforgiving, even for a team that was promoted from the Championship and had high expectations.

Despite their recent successes, neither Burnley nor Chelsea is satisfied with their current positions in the league standings. Burnley is positioned 18th, and Chelsea is sitting 11th after seven matches played.

For Burnley, getting points at home is crucial, as they have lost all four of their Premier League games at Turf Moor this season. In the upcoming match against Everton, both teams are striving to avoid becoming the first since Newcastle in 2018-19 to lose five consecutive home matches at the start of a Premier League campaign.

Chelsea, on the other hand, is under pressure to build momentum following their win against Fulham, especially considering the challenging fixtures awaiting them after the October international break. Their next seven top-flight matches include encounters with Arsenal, Brentford, Tottenham, Manchester City, Newcastle, Manchester United, and Brighton, making it a daunting run. Points will be hard to come by as they aim to close the gap on the European qualification spots, despite their young squad gaining more experience as they play together.

Mauricio Pochettino has a strong track record against promoted teams, having the highest win rate among Premier League managers who have faced promoted sides 10 times or more. In his case, he has managed 41 such matches and won 35 of them, boasting an impressive win rate of 85.4%. Raheem Sterling also tends to excel against newly promoted teams, being involved in 18 goals in his last 17 Premier League games against such opponents, with 14 goals and four assists, including a brace against Luton earlier in the season.

Both teams are dealing with injury concerns, with key players like Christopher Nkunku and Ben Chilwell sidelined. Chelsea is hopeful that Moisés Caicedo and Mudryk will recover from minor injuries suffered at Fulham, while Burnley will assess the fitness of midfielder Aaron Ramsey.

If either team emerges victorious on Saturday, they will be celebrating a positive week that could potentially turn their season around.

Chelsea has had a historical stronghold over this particular matchup, and their prowess was on full display during their most recent encounter in March 2022 at Turf Moor when they trounced their opponents under the management of Thomas Tuchel, securing an impressive 4-0 victory.

One consolation for Burnley is that Kai Havertz, who is now donning the Arsenal jersey, inflicted much of the damage by netting a brace in that game. Reece James contributed with a goal and an assist, and Christian Pulisic also found the back of the net.

The earlier season clash at Stamford Bridge had been a more closely contested affair. Reece James set up Havertz for an early header to take the lead, but Nick Pope's stellar performance in Burnley's goal kept the game fiercely competitive. It was only late in the match that Matej Vydra managed to snatch a late equalizer, resulting in a 1-1 draw.

Taking a broader perspective, Burnley's record against Chelsea in the Premier League has been less than stellar, with only one victory in their last 16 encounters, enduring 11 defeats during this challenging streak.

Furthermore, when playing at Turf Moor, Chelsea boasts an impressive track record, with seven wins in their last eight visits, the lone exception being a draw. This remarkable statistic also establishes Chelsea as the team with the most away games played against a single opponent in Premier League history without suffering a defeat.

Keeping Chelsea at bay has proven to be a formidable task for Burnley, as they have failed to secure a single clean sheet in their last 16 top-flight clashes against the Blues. In fact, it's been over five decades since Burnley last prevented Chelsea from scoring in the top division – a memorable 1-0 victory dating all the way back to 1973.

Chelsea would have anticipated a more impressive points tally given their substantial squad turnover, and data analysis indicates that they might have suffered from some misfortune in not accumulating more points, considering the quality of scoring opportunities they've been creating in their matches.

In contrast, Pochettino's team displayed a comfortable performance against Fulham. They also managed to generate higher expected goals statistics compared to their recent league rivals – Aston Villa, Bournemouth, and Nottingham Forest. However, despite these promising underlying numbers, they only secured a single point from those games.

Recently, Chelsea did secure a morale-boosting victory over Brighton in the EFL Cup at Stamford Bridge. This win has buoyed their hopes of advancing to the quarter-finals, as they've been drawn to play Championship side Blackburn Rovers at home in the next round.

For Chelsea, maintaining defensive solidity is of paramount importance. They've managed to secure league wins against Luton and Fulham this season while keeping clean sheets. However, the team's track record reveals a struggle to win games in the top flight when they concede even once, with a mere two victories in the previous 26 such contests, coupled with 17 losses during that span.

Their goalkeeper, Robert Sánchez, has recently been in excellent form, recording three clean sheets in his last five matches across all competitions, conceding only twice. This comes as a welcome relief after Chelsea endured a drought of 11 consecutive top-flight matches without a clean sheet.

To underscore the challenges Chelsea has faced this year, they are now aiming to secure consecutive Premier League victories for the first time since March. Furthermore, it's been over a year since they last managed back-to-back away league wins, with their previous accomplishment in this regard dating back to October of the previous season.

As for Burnley, although they've faced difficulties this season, they have managed two wins in their last three matches across all competitions. After a setback with a 2-0 loss to Newcastle, they secured a crucial victory at Luton. Before that, they displayed their prowess with a convincing 4-0 win against Salford City in the EFL Cup, setting up a fourth-round encounter against fellow relegation contenders Everton.

Chelsea is set to make their way to Turf Moor for a Premier League clash with Burnley this Saturday, aiming for their third consecutive victory across all competitions. Burnley, on the other hand, is also in high spirits, having secured their first three points of the new season with a 2-1 win against Luton Town on Tuesday.

Having dominated the Championship and secured promotion with a remarkable 101 points last season, Burnley has faced some challenges in adapting to life back in the Premier League this time around. However, they finally managed to secure their first win in their seventh attempt, triumphing over fellow newcomers Luton.

The match against Luton seemed destined to end in a draw when Elijah Adebayo scored an 84th-minute equalizer for Luton, canceling out Lyle Foster's first-half goal. However, Burnley quickly regained the lead with a sensational strike from Jacob Bruun Larsen just a minute later, securing a crucial victory. Vincent Kompany, the Belgian boss, praised his team's determination in snatching three valuable points and hopes that this win will kickstart their efforts to avoid relegation. Currently, Burnley sits in 18th place in the Premier League, tied in points with both Luton and Everton, just outside the relegation zone.

Burnley's home form needs improvement, as they have suffered four consecutive losses at Turf Moor at the start of this season. Only four teams in top-flight history—Manchester United (1930-31), Portsmouth (2009-10), Bolton Wanderers (2011-12), and Newcastle United (2018-19)—have ever lost their first five home matches in a single season.

Defensive improvements are also imperative for Burnley, as they have already conceded 16 goals and have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven league games this season. Keeping Chelsea at bay on Saturday won't be easy, as Chelsea has scored in each of their last 16 Premier League encounters with Burnley, winning 11 of those matches.

Chelsea enters the Turf Moor encounter with momentum, following their EFL Cup third-round victory over Brighton & Hove Albion and a 2-0 win against West London rivals Fulham on Monday. Mykhaylo Mudryk scored Chelsea's first goal within the opening 18 minutes, followed by a goal from Armando Broja just 82 seconds later, marking his return from a lengthy injury layoff. This win gave Mauricio Pochettino his first away victory as Chelsea's manager.

Although ending a three-game winless and scoreless streak in the Premier League is a positive development, there is still plenty of work ahead for Pochettino and his team. Their immediate goals include solidifying their position in the top half of the Premier League table and eyeing European qualification. Currently, Chelsea sits in 11th place with eight points, four points clear of Burnley, who occupy a spot in the bottom three, and five points behind West Ham United in seventh.

Chelsea cannot afford to drop points in what appears to be a favorable fixture against Burnley. They must build on their recent success before facing a challenging series of Premier League matches against Arsenal, Brentford, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City, Newcastle United, Brighton, and Manchester United following the international break.

Chelsea has secured maximum points in only three of their last 14 Premier League away games since the beginning of the year. However, they have enjoyed consistent success at Turf Moor, winning their last five visits by a cumulative score of 17-3, including a convincing 4-0 victory in their most recent trip to Burnley in March 2022.