Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

The Miami Heat (37-45, 17-23 Away) will face off against the Atlanta Hawks (40-42, 21-19 Home) in this NBA Play-In showdown at State Farm Arena.

We're backing the Hawks to come out on top in this matchup. With Moneyline odds of 1.98, there's solid value in siding with the home team.

Miami comes into this contest riding a two-game winning streak on the road, most recently dominating the Chicago Bulls 109-90 at United Center. Tyler Herro led the charge with 38 points, while Andrew Wiggins added 20 and Davion Mitchell chipped in 15.

The Hawks, meanwhile, have also notched consecutive wins at home. However, they’re coming off a tough 120-95 loss on the road to the Orlando Magic. Trae Young put up 28 points in that defeat, with Georges Niang contributing 15 and Mouhamed Gueye tallying 12.

While Miami has had the upper hand in recent meetings—winning the last two matchups by scores of 131-109 and 122-112 at Kaseya Center—they've only taken six of the past 10 encounters against Atlanta overall.

In the last ten games, the Heat have won six and lost four. They are shooting 48.6% from the field and 77.0% from the free-throw line, and their average stats are 119.3 points, 47.9 rebounds, 28.6 assists, 9.6 steals, and 4.4 blocks. In each game, the opponent averages 42.9 rebounds and 106.0 points.

Alec Burks averages 2.3 (39.7%) 3-pointers, Tyler Herro averages 22.7 points, Kel'el Ware averages 9.9 rebounds, and Davion Mitchell averages 6.4 assists.

In their last ten games, the Hawks have won five and lost five. 120.9 points, 44.5 rebounds, 30.1 assists, 8.7 steals, and 4.2 blocks on average per game, with a 48.7% field goal and a 78.3% free-throw percentage. On average, their opponents pull down 42.8 rebounds and score 118.9 points.