Again, for the third consecutive season, Greek Freak is above thirty points per game. He is averaging a professional lifetime-high and the second highest in the NBA 31.4 ppg and his score line is projected as 29.5 this evening. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored slightly over 28 points in January and this game is a ideal chance to invest at lower price.
On the road, Giannis has scored 27.9 points per match, however in Fiserv Forum, that figure is 33.9 points per match. Still, he averages an Over on this line in 22 of 34 games total, 15 of those at home games. The latter mark is priced at -75 percent hence making this prop a value at -120 odds.
In the last four seasons, Antetokounmpo has scored an average of 29.6 points against the Philadelphia 76ers in total of 11 games. From early December up to Jan 8, he has averaged 28.7 points in six road games and 30.8 in five home games. Of the five games, Antetokounmpo has played and achieved the Over four of them.
It’s not a game that one must look forward to playing with the Sixers coming up tonight. Philadelphia’s big men will be without their star player Joel Embiid once again which will present the Spurs with another opportunity to dominate the paint.
The Sixers have averaged a defensive efficiency rating of 117 points allowed per game in their last 10, 10th best in the Association. Philly has also allowed the highest field goal percentage in the NBA in that span – 51.8% to opponents.
They have given away 12.6 OF rebounds in the last 10, ranking 9th. That gives Antetokounmpo a golden opportunity to get a lot of second chance points, on which Philly has been 11th worst in the last five games they have played.
In transition points per game, Giannis leads the NBA with an average of 8.2 points. The Sixers have been ranked seventh in points per turnover and the tenth in fast break points in the last five years. This increases the probability for Antetokounmpo to score at least 30 tonight.
Embiid is still out indefinitely, and the 76ers have had trouble staying healthy this season. Paul George may return for the second leg of this weekend's back-to-back set despite sitting on Saturday. Even though Philadelphia may have two of its Big 3 available for Sunday's game against Milwaukee, the home club still has a talent disparity.
As road dogs, the Sixers are only 3-8-1 ATS, and as double-digit dogs, they are 1-3. I anticipate that the Milwaukee Bucks will easily win this one at home after defeating Philadelphia by 15 points in their season-opening head-to-head game.
The Sixers have managed to keep their scoring consistent despite frequently shifting their lineup. Tyrese Maxey has been the team's scoring leader in Embiid's absence, while players like Ricky Council IV and Kelly Oubre Jr. have stepped up when needed.
In recent games, the Sixers have hit the Over in three of their last five matchups, while the Bucks have achieved it in five consecutive games. On the road, the Sixers boast an 11-8-2 record to the Over this season, including a strong 3-1 performance as double-digit underdogs.
