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The Miami Heat, who have a 13-12 record and will play on back-to-back nights after suffering back-to-back losses to the Pistons in overtime and the Thunder, will host the Orlando Magic, who have won their first 10 games of the season at the KIA Center and still have the third-best defense in the NBA. The Miami Heat did, however, win three of their four back-to-back games this season. The Magic will only be favored by 2.5 points, and the game total is set at about 208 points, thus the bookies anticipate a competitive game with a predisposition to low points.
The Heat are ahead 79-60 in the head-to-head series. On October 23, 2024, the Magic crushed the Heat 116-97 in Miami. In their last ten meetings with the Magic, the Heat have a 6-4 record. However, in their last five meetings with the Heat at Amway Center, the Magic have a 3-2 record.
Nikola Jovic's recent return to the starting lineup gave the Heat a lift. His presence in the starting lineup is very beneficial for a Miami squad that is fighting to remain afloat and is enmeshed in trade rumors. As they play the second half of back-to-back games, the Heat will need every player they can acquire.
This team currently ranks 22nd in field-goal percentage, but their strength lies in three-point shooting, where they stand seventh in the league. Additionally, the Heat perform well at the free-throw line, holding the 12th spot in free-throw percentage. Their rebounding efforts are solid as they rank 15th, and they excel in ball control, ranking third in the fewest turnovers. However, their defensive performance leaves much to be desired, as they are last in the NBA for blocked shots.
For the Heat to cover the spread, Herro and Butler must shoot efficiently. Additionally, they need to improve their rim protection and prevent the Magic from gaining momentum. The Magic, meanwhile, have faced a challenging stretch. Franz Wagner has been sidelined indefinitely for two weeks, and with Paolo Banchero still out, the already-depleted team has managed just one win in their last four games.
Jalen Suggs has been tasked with leading the team but recently suffered an ankle injury during their loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. While his condition appears manageable, it’s something to monitor closely. In the meantime, Moritz Wagner has stepped up, filling in for both his brother and Banchero, and recently scored a career-high 32 points against the New York Knicks.
The first player the Heat turn to is Tyler Herro. He has been the Heat's top scorer, yet he has occasionally struggled. Notably, Herro made just four of his 17 three-point attempts. Jimmy Butler is still playing well. Incredibly, he achieved a triple-double last Monday with 35 points, 19 rebounds, and 10 assists. while the hoopla, he is still playing well while being connected to trade rumors.
Bam Adebayo is still a reliable backup. In the end, he performed admirably on Monday, scoring 15 points on 6 of 12 shots from the field. Terry Rozier hasn't always been reliable.
These players support a squad that has had trouble shooting, finishing 23rd in field-goal shooting percentage. Additionally, because the Magic have the lowest three-point shooting %, it gets worse when they try long-range attempts. The Magic, who rank 12th in terms of free-throw shooting %, have been reliable from the charity stripe. They rank 26th in rebounds, though, and have had trouble on the boards. The Magic, who rank 17th in turnovers, have also had some ups and downs in their basketball handling. In any case, they compensate for it on defense, as they are the NBA's top shot-blocking squad.
The Magic are 16-12-1 against the odds, and the Heat are 11-13 against the spread. Additionally, the Magic are 9-2-1 against the odds at home, while the Heat are 5-7 against the spread when traveling. When facing the Southeast Division, the Magic are 4-0 against the spread, while the Heat are 2-2 against the odds. In addition, the Heat are 1-2 against the odds when they have a rest disadvantage and 2-2 against the spread when they don't have any rest.
