Thunder vs. Pacers: NBA Finals Game 5 Preview and Predictions
Things have definitely reached a new level with the Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Finals. As we approach a Game 7 scenario, they have outperformed the thrill of the previous two Finals series.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 35 points in Game 4 helped his side win 111-104. Can the Pacers take the lead in Game 5 by displaying their tenacity once more? This SGP has little risk. We are in for an exciting conclusion because the battle lines are so close. But I prefer to be cautious. The Pacers are expected to play at their typical level or at least stay in the neighborhood. The aforementioned wagers are therefore extremely likely.
Game 4 Breakdown
The Indiana Pacers had a golden opportunity in Game 4 but let it slip away against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Leading 87-80 after three quarters with the home crowd behind them and a 2-1 series advantage, the Pacers faltered in the final period. The Thunder flipped the script, erasing the deficit in the fourth quarter to secure a 111-104 win.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the catalyst, erupting for 15 of his 35 points in the clutch, going a flawless 10-for-10 from the free-throw line. Jalen Williams complemented him with 27 points, also perfect at 11-for-11 from the stripe. Alex Caruso, known for his defensive prowess, surprised with 20 points on 7-of-9 shooting and added five steals, leveraging his championship pedigree from his Lakers days to make an offensive impact off the bench.
The Pacers, despite a solid team effort through three quarters, crumbled in the fourth, playing what coach Rick Carlisle called “stagnant basketball.” Instead of maintaining their aggressive pace, they shifted to a defensive mindset, allowing the Thunder—boasting the league’s top defense—to dictate the tempo and force longer possessions.
Will the Thunder Seize Momentum? Our Game 5 Prediction
Game 4 was a do-or-die moment for the Thunder, who avoided a daunting 3-1 deficit. Now, the pressure is on the Pacers, who face the challenge of stealing a win in Oklahoma City’s hostile Paycom Center, where the crowd will amplify every Thunder score.
The Thunder’s stifling fourth-quarter defense in Game 4, limiting the Pacers to just 17 points, set the tone. Expect OKC to lean on their defensive depth, with stars like Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams taking their usual high volume of shots (15-25 each). Chet Holmgren’s status is worth monitoring after tweaking his ankle in Game 4; while he played through it, he may not be at full strength.
For the Pacers, Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam need to dictate the offense. Their Game 4 output wasn’t enough, and they’ll need to play with urgency and pace to keep this game competitive. When Indiana runs, they’re dangerous, but falling into a half-court slog plays into the Thunder’s defensive hands. If the Pacers stay within striking distance, Haliburton could be the one to deliver in crunch time with a clutch shot.
However, the Thunder’s elite defense, with standout contributors in the starting lineup and off the bench, gives them the edge. While a close contest would be exciting, OKC’s momentum and home-court advantage point to a potential blowout win, signaling trouble for the Pacers’ inspiring playoff run.