Dallas has two consecutive victories to get back on track after dropping four games in a row by three points or less. This includes defeating the Spurs handily and defeating the Thunder by two points without Luka Doncic.
Luka is doubtful once more tonight, but I'll take Dallas to cover even if he can't. Over the past two weeks, the squad has faced some fierce opposition, and Tuesday's game against New Orleans presents an opportunity to win easily.
With an average of 6.7 rebounds per game while playing 23.5 minutes, Yves Missi has had a successful start to his rookie season. He has averaged 7.6 rebounds in 25.8 minutes played in nine games since entering the starting lineup. He has at least seven rebounds in six games and more than ten in four. He has averaged 4.3 offensive rebounds and grabbed seven or more in the last four games.
His season-long average of 3.0 offensive rebounds has tied him for 10th place in the NBA. Missi has a great chance to cash this prop because Dallas gives up the third-most offensive rebounds and the fifth-most rebounds.
New Orleans has been forced to rely on Ingram to carry the club because the hits just keep coming. For 35 PRA this season, he is averaging 23.6 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 5.4 assists. In two consecutive games and three of four, he has cashed the Over on this line. In seven out of fourteen games, he has contributed at least 38 PRA, but I don't think he will tonight.
This game will be difficult for New Orleans because they will be without CJ McCollum, Dejounte Murray, Zion Williamson, Herb Jones, Jordan Hawkins, and Jose Alvarado.
It should come as no surprise that the Pelicans offense has struggled to score 104.6 points per game, ranking 29th in the Association. New Orleans has only averaged 96 points over the last three games, making the situation even worse.
The Pelicans (96.5) are the only club to average less than 100 points a game this season, and no team has scored fewer points away from home. The Mavs should be able to contain this low-scoring attack because Dallas' defense is ranked seventh in terms of scoring defense.
