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Powers in the Eastern Conference face off on Monday night in primetime. The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks will play at TD Garden. Boston has a 7-2 record overall this year, with a 4-0 home record and two straight victories. Today's matchup between the Knicks and New York, which has improved to 5-4 overall thanks to a three-game winning streak, is the second of a back-to-back set.
In Boston, the game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET. Boston is the 9-point favorite in this game according to SportsLine consensus, and the most recent Celtics vs. Knicks odds put the total number of points Vegas believes will be scored at 220.5. Prior to any Knicks vs. Celtics.
Over the past five seasons, the SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, has made well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA selections. Starting from last season, the model has a 79-42 record on all top-rated NBA picks going into Week 3 of the 2023–24 NBA season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone who has followed it has made significant profits.
On the road, New York has performed admirably across a sizable sample. The Knicks finished in the top five in the NBA last season in both road net rating (+1.5) and road record (24–17). This season, they have a +2.7 net rating. New York leads the NBA in three offensive rebound percentage categories, with a standout offensive rebound percentage of 34.2%. In terms of turnovers caused (12.4 per game) and steals (6.7 per game) this season, Boston is in the worst five in the league, while New York is likewise a ball handler, giving up a turnover on just 13.3% of opportunities.
The Knicks play excellent defense, as seen by their top-three defensive rating (104.7) in the NBA. Leading the NBA in defensive rebound percentage (77.0%) and second-chance points allowed (10.1 per game), New York is the greatest defensive rebounding club in the league. In terms of free throw attempts allowed (22.7 per game), assists allowed (22.7 per game), and points allowed in the paint (45.1 per game), the Knicks rank among the top six in the NBA.
In the first game of the 2023–24 season, Boston defeated New York by limiting the Knicks to 1.07 points per possession and 37% shooting. In that game, the Celtics also had a 61.1% true shooting percentage, giving Boston the lead in the TD Garden. Boston has a 24.8 point advantage over opponents per 100 possessions at home, where they are 4-0 this season. The Celtics had the best net rating (+10.1) at home of any Eastern Conference club during the previous season, going 32-9 at home. Boston has also been very dominant this season, leading the NBA with a net rating of +13.6.
The Boston Celtics, headed by one of the best players in the NBA in Jayson Tatum, are among the top three teams in the NBA in terms of both offensive and defensive efficiency. Tatum, a four-time All-Star, started the 2023–24 season with averages of 30.1 points and 8.8 rebounds and is already averaging 27.7 points and 9.2 rebounds per game. Tatum provides excellent wing defense and is shooting 52% from the floor and 39.5% from 3-point range.
